Places in a simulated world

Run one scenario and watch where it lands, country by country and state by state. Built from public figures and stated assumptions. Nothing here is a forecast.

Simulated allocation, not observed country or state data

Loading the world.

Replay plays the same run again. New luck keeps the assumptions at their middle values and changes only the random seed. Luck is not uncertainty about the assumptions. Explore different assumptions.

Countries and pooled places

Change is cumulative from day 0 to the playhead. Choose a row to open that place.

Contribution is the place's difference divided by the whole world's total without the scenario, in percentage points. Pooled places have no map position. They are included in world totals and listed at both levels.